Oxford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 1
HAM
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 1
OXF
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
OXF
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 3
MAI
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
OXF
5 - 1
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
0 - 6
DAR
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
0 - 2
HAR
57%
21%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 2
SLO
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STA
5 - 0
WEL
70%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |