Oxford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BIL
1 - 3
OXF
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 2
OXF
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 0
DUL
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
0 - 0
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
HUN
1 - 4
OXF
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 2
OXF
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
CHI
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
WEL
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 2
BIL
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
HEM
1 - 2
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |