Oxford City vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
OXF
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
5 - 1
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
3 - 2
WEA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
OXF
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 3
MAI
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 2
SUT
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
WHI
34%
24%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
3 - 1
BAT
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 1
WHI
38%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 0
CHM
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |