Oxford City vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 3
OXF
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 3
KIN
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 2
OXF
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 2
OXF
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 3
GOS
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
RUS
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
SCU
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LEA
3 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |