Oxford City vs Southend United analysis

Oxford City Southend United
43 ELO 52
13.2% Tilt 12.7%
6084º General ELO ranking 3236º
257º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Oxford City
24.6%
Draw
49%
Southend United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
Oxford City
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49%
Win probability
Southend United
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oxford City
-14%
-12%
Southend United

Points and table prediction

Oxford City
Their league position
Southend United
CURR.POS.
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
15º
24º
24º
65
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chesterfield
98
98
100%
Barnet
86
86
100%
Bromley
81
81
100%
Altrincham
77
77
100%
Solihull Moors
76
76
100%
Southend United
65
75
0%
Gateshead
75
75
0%
FC Halifax Town
71
71
100%
Aldershot Town
69
69
100%
Oldham Athletic AFC
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Rochdale
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Hartlepool United
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Eastleigh
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Maidenhead United
14º
58
58
14º
100%
Dagenham & Redbridge
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Wealdstone
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Fylde
18º
55
55
17º
0%
Woking
17º
55
55
18º
0%
Ebbsfleet United
19º
54
54
19º
100%
York City
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Boreham Wood
21º
52
52
21º
100%
Kidderminster Harriers
22º
46
46
22º
100%
Dorking Wanderers
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Oxford City
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oxford City
Southend United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Oxford City
Southend United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oxford City
Oxford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
7 - 1
Oxford City
OXF
54%
22%
23%
44 48 4 0
06 Feb. 2024
WOK
Woking
2 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
45%
24%
31%
45 47 2 -1
03 Feb. 2024
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
3 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
46%
25%
30%
46 49 3 -1
27 Jan. 2024
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 0
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
37%
23%
40%
45 48 3 +1
23 Jan. 2024
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 2
York City
YOR
41%
25%
34%
46 50 4 -1

Matches

Southend United
Southend United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
York City
YOR
53%
25%
22%
53 50 3 0
03 Feb. 2024
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
39%
25%
36%
54 55 1 -1
27 Jan. 2024
CHE
Chesterfield
3 - 0
Southend United
SOU
73%
17%
10%
55 66 11 -1
13 Jan. 2024
EAS
Eastleigh
0 - 1
Southend United
SOU
47%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0
06 Jan. 2024
SOU
Southend United
3 - 0
FC Halifax Town
HAL
42%
29%
29%
54 57 3 +1
X