FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-5
Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 2
OXF
22%
21%
57%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OXF
3 - 0
FYL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
OXF
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
0 - 4
GAT
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 2
OXF
22%
21%
57%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 2
FAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 2
SCA
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RUS
4 - 2
SCA
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SCA
3 - 0
FAR
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |