Oxford City vs Plymouth Parkway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
OXF
3 - 1
DOV
74%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OXF
2 - 2
HEM
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
OXF
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 1
OXF
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
OXF
2 - 0
HUN
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLY
3 - 1
HAY
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
3 - 1
BRI
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
4 - 2
TIV
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
6 - 0
HEN
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
PLY
41%
21%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |