Oxford City vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
OXF
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
VAU
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 3
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 3
STA
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
HIN
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |