Oxford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WEA
1 - 1
OXF
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
WEL
4 - 0
OXF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 3
OXF
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 2
OXF
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HEM
2 - 1
MAI
28%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 3
HEM
49%
22%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HEM
0 - 4
EAS
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HEM
2 - 2
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HEM
2 - 0
WEL
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |