Oxford City vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
56%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
6 - 0
OXF
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
AFC
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
OXF
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 0
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HED
3 - 2
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
HED
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STO
0 - 1
HED
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |