Oxford City vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
STO
2 - 0
OXF
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
WOR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 2
OXF
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
VAU
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
OXF
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 1
GAI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
4 - 2
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 0
ALT
21%
22%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GLO
5 - 1
HED
18%
22%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
EBB
3 - 0
GLO
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |