Oxford City vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 0
OXF
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 2
GLO
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 3
OXF
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHO
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 0
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
3 - 1
HED
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 5
FYL
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
0 - 0
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOW
1 - 0
FYL
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
STA
3 - 0
FYL
27%
23%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |