Ovarense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 0
OVA
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 3
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
OVA
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
OVA
1 - 3
AVE
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCB
4 - 0
OVA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
0 - 2
BMA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VIZ
2 - 2
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |