Ovarense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
OVA
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
FEL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
EST
5 - 3
OVA
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 0
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 0
OVA
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 4
LEX
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 3
SPC
50%
27%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |