Ovarense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
OVA
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 2
FEI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 0
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
OVA
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNM
1 - 3
PEN
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |