Ovarense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
OVA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
OVA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OVA
3 - 2
MAI
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 0
OVA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
FCM
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAV
4 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAV
4 - 2
FEI
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |