Ovarense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 1
OVA
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 1
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 1
OVA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
EST
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 2
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 0
NAV
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
4 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |