Ovarense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 0
OVA
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 2
MAI
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
FEL
0 - 3
OVA
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 2
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
OVA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |