Ovarense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 1
OVA
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
5 - 0
AVE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
OVA
0 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
FEL
0 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |