Ovarense vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MAI
4 - 0
OVA
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SPB
1 - 0
OVA
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
OVA
4 - 1
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
POR
3 - 1
OVA
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 0
PEN
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |