Ovarense vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GON
0 - 2
OVA
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
OVA
4 - 2
OLH
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 0
OVA
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 0
OVA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
AVE
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 2
PAÇ
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FEI
1 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAV
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |