Ovarense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 0
OVA
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
VST
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 1
OVA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 2
LEX
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |