Ovarense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 2
OVA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 2
RIO
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 1
OVA
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
FEL
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |