Ovarense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
OVA
3 - 1
SAL
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
OVA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 1
OVA
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |