Ovalle vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
OVA
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
OVA
3 - 2
MAL
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 1
MEJ
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NTA
2 - 1
OVA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LOT
0 - 0
CHG
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOT
1 - 1
SAU
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
LOT
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LOT
0 - 0
PIN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MEJ
1 - 1
LOT
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |