Ovalle vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DLI
1 - 2
OVA
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OVA
1 - 3
CHG
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEJ
1 - 1
OVA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
OVA
0 - 7
PIN
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MEJ
3 - 1
OVA
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 1
DLI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHG
1 - 0
CDM
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
NTA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 1
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
DLI
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -2 |