Ovalle vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
4 - 0
OVA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 0
CHG
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SAU
0 - 0
OVA
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
OVA
3 - 2
LOT
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 0
CHG
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAU
2 - 1
CDM
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 1
LOT
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
CDM
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 0
PIN
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |