Outeiro De Rei vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outeiro De Rei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OUT
0 - 1
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 0
OUT
32%
24%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OUT
1 - 1
CAT
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 5
OUT
10%
17%
72%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
OUT
9%
17%
74%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 3
GUN
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOU
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
LOU
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MEI
1 - 1
LOU
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
CDC
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |