Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Ourense vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SSC
0 - 1
CDO
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CDO
3 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GER
1 - 0
CDO
28%
28%
43%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CDO
4 - 0
LUG
77%
18%
6%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 2
CDO
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GAN
1 - 0
VIL
52%
29%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VIL
0 - 0
GIM
49%
29%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ACE
2 - 2
VIL
36%
31%
33%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VIL
3 - 0
PBL
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
MLL
1 - 0
VIL
67%
23%
10%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |