CD Ourense vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
CDO
1 - 1
ZAM
45%
32%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDO
70%
21%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CDO
2 - 1
FCA
37%
32%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
AND
2 - 1
CDO
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PON
1 - 1
CDO
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
LLE
2 - 0
RSO
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 4
LLE
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
LLE
2 - 0
BIN
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
COM
0 - 0
LLE
33%
31%
37%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
LLE
1 - 0
SLA
58%
26%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |