Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Ourense vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
CDO
2 - 0
BAS
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CDO
33%
32%
34%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
CFP
1 - 1
CDO
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CDO
1 - 1
UPL
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
CDO
4 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
CAU
54%
26%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
GRA
4 - 0
COM
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
COM
1 - 1
UPL
36%
30%
34%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
COM
2 - 1
LAR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
RCF
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |