CD Ourense vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
CDO
2 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDO
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CDO
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
UPL
1 - 1
CDO
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
CDO
0 - 2
RSO
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ONT
3 - 1
REC
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
REC
3 - 0
CEU
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 1
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
REC
3 - 3
GRA
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
CAD
0 - 0
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |