CD Ourense vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDO
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
SAB
2 - 1
CDO
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
CDO
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CDO
1 - 0
SDI
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDO
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
CAD
3 - 1
MUR
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
MUR
2 - 0
CFC
69%
17%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |