Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-3
CD Ourense vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
CDO
1 - 1
REC
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
MLL
3 - 0
CDO
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
CDO
2 - 1
CDT
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
VAD
2 - 2
CDO
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
CDO
1 - 0
SAB
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
SPO
2 - 0
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
RMA
4 - 0
MAL
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
ZAR
6 - 1
RMA
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |