CD Ourense vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
RIB
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ULP
3 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
CDO
0 - 0
CUL
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
AVI
3 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
4 - 1
AVI
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AVI
3 - 2
ULP
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CUL
0 - 0
AVI
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
ZAM
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |