Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-0
CD Ourense vs Pájara Playas Jandía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SSR
0 - 0
CDO
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 0
CDO
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CDO
2 - 2
GIM
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CDO
2 - 5
RMC
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LAN
2 - 1
CDO
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pájara Playas Jandía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
PPJ
3 - 1
VEC
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PPJ
2 - 3
CUL
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CUL
6 - 1
PPJ
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 3
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LLE
0 - 0
PPJ
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |