CD Ourense vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
SAB
0 - 0
CDO
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
CDO
4 - 0
UPL
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 0
CDO
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CDO
1 - 1
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 1
CDO
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 3
VAD
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
HER
3 - 2
ONT
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ONT
2 - 0
REC
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MLL
4 - 0
ONT
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ONT
3 - 1
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |