CD Ourense vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDO
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CDO
6 - 1
ALC
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
CDO
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
OVI
0 - 1
CDO
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDO
1 - 2
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOJ
0 - 0
UDL
30%
28%
43%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TRO
3 - 1
NOJ
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOJ
0 - 2
CAU
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOJ
0 - 3
BUR
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOJ
0 - 0
OVI
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |