Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
CD Ourense vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
3 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
CDO
23%
30%
47%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CDO
32%
30%
39%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 2
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 3
NOJ
12%
24%
64%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
0 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CDO
32%
30%
39%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOJ
14%
26%
61%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NOJ
3 - 0
AYR
76%
17%
8%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |