CD Ourense vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
CDO
1 - 1
ROB
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAU
0 - 0
CDO
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
CDO
2 - 2
MLL
15%
24%
60%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CDO
1 - 0
ULP
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1999 |
RCF
2 - 0
CDO
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
AVI
0 - 1
MST
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MST
3 - 3
CUL
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
RMC
4 - 0
MST
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ROB
1 - 2
MST
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MST
3 - 1
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |