CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RCF
1 - 0
CDO
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CDO
5 - 1
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PPJ
3 - 0
CDO
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CDO
3 - 1
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CDO
1 - 1
RAY
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
ULP
30%
29%
42%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 3
PON
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 1
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ATB
3 - 2
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |