CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SSC
2 - 1
CDO
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
RCF
2 - 0
CDO
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
CDO
2 - 0
ATH
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
UPL
0 - 0
CDO
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
CDO
0 - 0
CDT
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
47%
30%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 1
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LUG
2 - 3
TRJ
48%
29%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SSC
1 - 0
LUG
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
LUG
0 - 1
ATH
40%
29%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |