Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
CD Ourense vs Lalín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CUL
0 - 0
CDO
32%
32%
37%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
CDO
2 - 0
ARO
73%
19%
8%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
LAL
1 - 1
CDO
32%
28%
39%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ARE
0 - 0
CDO
22%
33%
45%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
CDO
1 - 0
ARE
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Lalín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PON
2 - 0
LAL
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LAL
0 - 0
AVI
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
LAL
1 - 1
CDO
32%
28%
39%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LEM
2 - 0
LAL
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
LAL
2 - 1
ASP
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |