Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
CD Ourense vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
PON
0 - 0
CDO
32%
32%
36%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CDO
2 - 0
RCF
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ENS
2 - 2
CDO
41%
30%
30%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CDG
1 - 1
CDO
29%
32%
40%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAU
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
GRA
0 - 1
ENS
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
25%
26%
49%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
LAR
0 - 0
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GRA
3 - 0
GIM
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |