Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
CD Ourense vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BAD
1 - 1
CDO
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 2
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
OSA
3 - 0
CDO
76%
15%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 0
CDO
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 0
SEV
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
30%
27%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |