Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-3
CD Ourense vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
MAR
4 - 1
CDO
33%
28%
39%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CDO
2 - 0
DEP
80%
15%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
CDO
4 - 0
FIS
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ARO
0 - 2
CDO
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
CDO
4 - 1
VER
76%
17%
7%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
0 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
RMC
4 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CEL
6 - 0
GDE
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
MLL
2 - 2
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |