CD Ourense vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CDO
1 - 0
UPL
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CDO
1 - 1
RMC
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PON
1 - 1
CDO
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 0
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 1
ULP
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CUL
0 - 0
CEL
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |