Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-3
CD Ourense vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CDO
0 - 1
SEV
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
CAU
2 - 3
CDO
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
LOG
0 - 1
CDO
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 3
CDO
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
CDO
0 - 1
CDT
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CAU
2 - 1
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
CAU
2 - 3
CDO
32%
29%
39%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAU
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
COL
2 - 3
CAU
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CAU
3 - 5
NAV
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |