CD Ourense vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
GRA
0 - 1
CDO
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
MIR
1 - 0
CDO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CDO
1 - 0
CUL
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CDO
4 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RUN
3 - 1
CDO
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAU
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAU
3 - 1
PON
36%
34%
30%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LUG
4 - 1
CAU
51%
29%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
3 - 1
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
2 - 1
SSC
46%
29%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |