CD Ourense vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ULP
1 - 1
CDO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CDO
0 - 3
UDL
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 2
CDO
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CDO
1 - 0
PPJ
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
RAY
0 - 0
CDO
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
UDL
17%
26%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PPJ
2 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 2
ATB
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LEG
1 - 2
CAS
54%
27%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALC
32%
30%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |